David McGuire's picture
David
McGuire
Research Ecologist
Email 
admcguire [at] alaska.edu
Phone 
907-474-6242
Affiliations 
US Geological Survey
Biography 

Dave joined the Alaska Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit in August 1995 as the Assistant Leader Ecology. He has a joint appointment as Professor of Ecology with the Department of Biology and Wildlife and the Institute of Arctic Biology, University of Alaska Fairbanks.

For more information about Dave, visit his profile page on the Alaska Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit web site. 

Research Interests

Arctic climate change, Terrestrial carbon budgets, Climate change in Alaska's boreal forests

Teaching Interests

Ecosystem dynamics, Earth system modeling

Publications

Abbott, B.W., et al. 2016. Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire: an expert assessment. Environmental Research Letters . 11(3). doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014.
Bond-Lamberty, B., Epron, D., Harden, J., Harmon, M.E., Hoffman, F., Kumar, J., McGuire, A.D., and Vargas, R. 2016. Estimating heterotrophic respiration at large scales: Challenges, approaches, and next steps. Ecosphere. 7(6). doi:e01380.10.1002/ecs2.1380.
Grosse, G., S. Goetz, A.D. McGuire, V.E. Romanovsky, and E.A.G. Schuur 2016. Changing permafrost in a warming world and feedbacks to the Earth System. Environmental Research Letters. 11(4). doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/040201.
Grosse, G., Goetz, S., McGuire, A., Romanovsky, V., and E. Schuur 2016. Review and Synthesis: Changing Permafrost in a Warming World and Feedbacks to the Earth System. Environmental Research Letters. 11(4).
He, Y., J. Yang, Q. Zhuang, J.W. Harden, A.D. McGuire, Y. Liu, G. Wang, L. Gu 2016. Incorporating microbial dormancy dynamics into soil decomposition models to improve quantification of soil carbon dynamics of northern temperate forests. Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences . 120. 2596-2611. doi: 10.1002/2015JG003130.
Kelly, R., H. Genet, A.D. McGuire, and F.S. Hu 2016. Paleodata-informed modeling of large carbon losses from recent burning of boreal forests. Nature Climate Change . 6. 79-82. doi:10.1038/nclimate2832.
Lara, M.J., H. Genet, A.D. McGuire, E.S. Euskirchen, Y. Zhang, D. Brown, M.T. Jorgenson, V. Romanovsky, A. Breen, W.R. Bolton 2016. Thermokarst rates intensify due to climate change and forest fragmentation in an Alaskan boreal forest lowland. Global Change Biology. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13124.
Lara, M.J., H. Genet, A.D. McGuire, E.S. Euskirchen, Y. Zhang, D.R.N. Brown, M.T. Jorgenson, V. Romanovsky, A. Breen, and W.R. Bolton 2016. Lowland boreal forest ecosystems in Alaska are dominated by wetlands comprised of a complex mosaic of fens, collapse-scar bogs, low shrub/scrub, and forests growing on elevated ice-rich permafrost soils. Thermokarst has affected the lowlands of the Tanana. Global Change Biology. 22(2). 816-829. doi:10.1111/gcb.13124.
Luo, Y., A. Ahlstrom, S.D. Allison, N.H. Batjes, V. Brovkin, N. Carvalhais, A. Chappell, P. Ciais, E.A. Davidson, A. Finzi, K. Georgiou, B. Guenet, O. Hararuk, J.W. Harden, Y. He, F. Hopkins, L. Jiang, C. Koven, R.B. Jackson, C.D. Jones, M.J. Lara, J. Liang, A.D. McGuire, W. Parton, C. Peng, J.T. Randerson, A. Salazar, C.A. Sierra, M.J. Smith, H. Tian, K.E.O. Todd-Brown, M. Torn, K.J. van Groenigen, Y.P. Wang, T.O. West, Y. Wei, W.R. Wieder, J. Xia, X. Xu, X. Xu, and T. Zhou 2016. Toward more realistic projections of soil carbon dynamics by Earth system models. Global Change Biology. 30(1). 40-56. doi: 10.1002/2015GB005239.
McGuire, A.D., B.K. Wylie, D.V. D’Amore, X. Zhou, T.S. Rupp, H. Genet, Y. He, S. Stackpoole, and Z. Zhu 2016. Executive Summary-Baseline and Projected Future Carbon Storage and Greenhouse-Gas Fluxes in Ecosystems of Alaska. Pages 1-3 in Z. Zhu and A.D. McGuire, eds., Baseline and projected future carbon storage and greenhouse-gas fluxes in ecosystems of Alaska. U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper. 1826. 196.
McGuire, A.D., H. Genet, Y. He, S. Stackpoole, D.V. D’Amore, T.S. Rupp, B.K. Wylie, X. Zhou, and Z. Zhu 2016. Alaska Carbon Balance. Chapter 9 (pages 189-196) in Z. Zhu and A.D. McGuire, eds., Baseline and projected future carbon storage and greenhouse-gas fluxes in ecosystems of Alaska. U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper. 1826. 196.
McGuire, A.D., C. Koven, D.M. Lawrence, J.S. Clein, J. Xia, C. Beer, E. Burke, G. Chen, X. Chen, C. Delire, E. Jafarov, A.H. MacDougall, S. Marchenko, D. Nicolsky, S. Peng, A. Rinke, K. Saito, W. Zhang, R. Alkama, T.J. Bohn, P. Ciais, B. Decharme, A. Ekici, I. Gouttevin, T. Hajima, D.J. Hayes, D. Ji, G. Krinner, D.P. Lettenmaier, P.A. Miller, J.C. Moore, V. Romanovsky, C. Schadel, K. Schaefer, E.A.G. Schuur, B. Smith, T. Sueyoshi, and Q. Zhuang 2016. Variability in the sensitivity among model simulations of permafrost and carbon dynamics in the permafrost region between 1960 and 2009. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 30(7). 1015-1037. doi: 10.1002/2016GB005405.
Peng, S., P. Ciais, G. Krinner, T. Wang, I. Gouttevin, A.D. McGuire, D. Lawrence, E. Burke, X. Chen, B. Decharme, C. Koven, A. MacDougall, A. Rinke, K. Saito, W. Zhang, R. Alkama, T.J. Bohn, C. Delire, T. Hajima, D. Ji, D.P. Lettenmaier, P.A. Miller, J.C. Moore, B. Smith, T. Sueyoshi 2016. Simulated high-latitude soil thermal dynamics during the past four decades. The Cryosphere. 10. 179-192. doi:10.5194/tc-10-179-2016.
Wang, W., A. Rinke, J.C. Moore, D. Ji, X. Cui, S. Peng, D.M. Lawrence, A.D. McGuire, E.J. Burke, X. Chen, B. Decharme, C. Koven, A. MacDougall, K. Saito, W. Zhang, R. Alkama, T.J. Bohn, P. Ciais, C. Delire, I. Gouttevin, T. Hajima, G. Krinner, D.P. Lettenmaier, P.A. Miller, B. Smith, T. Sueyoshi, and A.B. Sherstiukov 2016. Evaluation of air-soil temperature relationships simulated by land surface models during winter across the permafrost region. The Cryosphere. 10. 1721-1737. doi:10.5194/tc-10-1721-2016.
Wang, W., A. Rinke, J.C. Moore, X. Cui, D. Ji, Q. Li, N. Zhang, C. Wang, S. Zhang, D.M. Lawrence, A.D. McGuire, W. Zhang, C. Delire, C. Koven, K. Saito, A. MacDougall, E. Burke, and B. Decharme 2016. Diagnostic and model dependent uncertainty of simulated Tibetan permafrost area. The Cryosphere. 10. 287-306. doi:10.5194/tc-10-287-2016.
Zhou, X., S.A. Schroder, A.D. McGuire, and Z. Zhu 2016. Forest inventory-based analysis and projections of forest carbon stocks and changes in Alaska coastal forests. Chapter 4 (pages 77-94) in Z. Zhu and A.D. McGuire, eds., Baseline and projected future carbon storage and greenhouse-gas fluxes in ecosystems of Alaska. U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper. 1826. 196.
Zhu, Z. and A. D. McGuire, eds. 2016. Baseline and projected future carbon storage and greenhouse-gas fluxes in ecosystems of Alaska. U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper . 1826. 196.
Calef, M.P., A. Varvak, A.D. McGuire, F.S. Chapin III, and K.B. Reinhold 2015. Recent changes in annual area burned in interior Alaska: The impact of fire management. Earth Interactions. 19. 1-17. doi: 10.1175/EI-D-14-0025.1.
Churchill, A.C., M.R. Turetsky, A.D. McGuire, and T.N. Hollingsworth 2015. Response of plant community structure and primary productivity to experimental drought and flooding in an Alaskan fen. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 45. 185-193. doi: 10.1139/cjfr-2014-0100.
Hultman, J., M.P. Waldrop, R. Mackelprang, M.M. David, J. McFarland, S.J. Blazewicz, J. Harden, M.R. Turetsky, A.D. McGuire, M.B. Shah, N.C. VerBerkmoes, L.H. Lee, K. Mavrommatis, and J.K. Jansson 2015. Multi-omics of permafrost, active layer and thermokarst bog soil microbiomes. Nature. 521. 208-212. doi: 10.1038/nature14238.
King, A.W., R.J. Andres, K.J. Davis, M. Hafer, D.J. Hayes, D.N. Huntzinger, B. de Jong, W.A. Kurz, A.D. McGuire, R. Vargas, Y. Wei, T.O. West, and C.W. Woodall 2015. North America’s net terrestrial CO2 exchange with the atmosphere 1990-2009. . Biogeosciences. 12. 399-414. doi: 10.5194/bg-12-399-2015.
Koven, C.D., E.A.G. Schuur, C. Schadel, T.J. Bohn, E.J. Burke, G. Chen, X. Chen, P. Ciais, G. Grosse, J.W. Harden, D.J. Hayes, G. Hugelius, E.E. Jafarov, G. Krinner, P. Kuhry, D.M. Lawrence, A.H. MacDougall, S.S. Marchenko, A.D. McGuire, S.M. Natali, D.J. Nicolsky, D. Olefeldt, S. Peng, V.E. Romanovsky, K.M. Schaefer, J. Strauss, C.C. Treat, and M. Turetsky 2015. A simplified, data-constrained approach to estimate the pernmafrost carbon-climate feedback. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal . 373(2054). doi:10.1098/rsta.2014.0423.
Koven, C.D., E.A.G. Schuur, C. Schadel, T.J. Bohn, E.J. Burke, G. Chen, X. Chen, P. Ciais, G. Grosse, J.W. Harden, D.J. Hayes, G. Hugelius, E.E. Jafarov, G. Krinner, P. Kuhry, D.M. Lawrence, A.H. MacDougall, S.S. Marchenko, A.D. McGuire, S.M. Natali, D.J. Nicolsky, D. Olefeldt, S. Peng, V.E. Romanovsky, K.M. Schaefer, J. Strauss, C.C. Treat, and M. Turetsky 2015. A simplified, data-constrained approach to estimate the permafrost carbon–climate feedback. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences . 373(2054). doi: 10.1098/rsta.2014.0423.
Lara, M.J., A.D. McGuire, E.S. Euskirchen, C.E. Tweedie, K.M. Hinkel, A.N. Skurikhin, V.E. Romanovsky, G. Grosse, W.R. Bolton, and H. Genet 2015. Polygonal tundra geomorphological change in response to warming alters future CO2 and CH4 flux on the Barrow Peninsula. Global Change Biology. 21. 1634-1651. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12757.
Lara, M. J., A. D. McGuire, E. S. Euskirchen, C.E. Tweedie, K. M. Hinkel, A. N. Skurikhin, V. E. Romanovsky, G. Grosse, W. R. Bolton, and H. Genet 2015. Polygonal tundra geomorphological change in response to warming alters future CO2 and CH4 flux on the Barrow Peninsula. Global Change Biology. 21(4). 1634-1651. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12757 .
Lara, M. J., H. Genet, A. D. McGuire, E. S. Euskirchen, Y. Zhang, D. Brown, M. T. Jorgenson, V. Romanovsky, A. L. Breen, and R. W. Bolton 2015In Press. Thermokarst rates intensify due to climate change and forest fragmentation in an Alaskan boreal forest lowland. Global Change Biology. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13124.
Lara M. J., H. Genet, A. D. McGuire, E. S. Euskirchen, Y. Zhang, D. R. Brown, M. T. Jorgenson, V. Romanovsky, A. Breen, and R. W. Bolton 2015In Press. Thermokarst rates intensify due to climate change and forest fragmentation in an Alaskan boreal forest lowland. Global Change Biology. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13124.
Liang, J., M. Zhou, P.C. Tobin, A.D. McGuire, and P.B. Reich 2015. Biodiversity influences plant productivity through niche-efficiency. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences . 112(18). 5738-5743. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1409853112.
Melvin, A.M., M.C. Mack, J.F. Johnstone, A.D. McGuire, H. Genet, and E.A.G. Schuur 2015. Differences ecosystem carbon distribution linked to forest tree species composition in mid-successional boreal forest. Ecosystems. 18(8). 1472-1488. doi:10.1007/s10021-015-9912-7.
Parmentier, F.J.W., W. Zhang, Y. Mi, X. Zhu, J. van Huissteden, D.J. Hayes, Q. Zhuang, T.R. Christensen, and A.D. McGuire 2015. Rising methane emissions from northern wetlands associated with sea ice decline. Geophysical Research Letters. 42(17). 7214-7222. doi: 10.1002/2015GL065013.
Parmentier, F.-J.W., W. Zhang, Y. Mi, X. Zhu, J. van Huissteden, D.J. Hayes, Q. Zhuang, T.R. Christensen, and A.D. McGuire 2015. Rising methane emissions from northern wetlands associated with sea ice decline. Geophysical Research Letters. 42. 7214-7222. doi:10.1002/2015GL065013.
Rawlins, M., A.D. McGuire, J.S. Kimball, P. Dass, D. Lawrence, E. Burke, X. Chen, C. Delire, C. Koven, A. MacDougall, S. Peng, A. Rinke, K. Saito, W. Zhang, R. Alkama, T.J. Bohn, P. Ciais, B. Decharme, I. Gouttevin, T. Hajima, D. Ji, G. Krinner, D.P. Lettenmaier, P. Miller, J.C. Moore, B. Smith, and T. Sueyoshi 2015. Assessment of model estimates of land-atmosphere CO2 exchange across northern Eurasia. Biogeosciences. 12(14). 4385-4405. doi: 10.5194/bg-12-4385-2015.
Schuur, E. A. G., A. D. McGuire, C. Schädel, G. Grosse, J. W. Harden, D. J. Hayes, G. Hugelius, C. D. Koven, P. Kuhry, D. M. Lawrence, S. M. Natali, D. Olefeldt, V. E. Romanovsky, K. Schaefer, M. R. Turetsky, C. C. Treat, and J. E. Vonk 2015. Climate change and the permafrost carbon feedback. Nature. doi: 10.1038/nature14338.
Treat, C.C., S.M. Natali, J. Ernakovich, C.M. Iversen, M. Lupascu, A.D. McGuire, R.J. Norby, T.R. Chowdhury, A. Richter, H. Santruckova, C. Schadel, E.A.G. Schuur, V.L. Sloan, M.R. Turetsky, and M.P. Waldrop 2015. A pan-Arctic synthesis of CH4 and CO2 production from anoxic soil incubations. Global Change Biology. 21(7). 2787-2803. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12875.
Treat, C.C., S.M. Natali, J. Ernakovich, C.M. Iversen, M. Lupascu, A.D. McGuire, R.J. Norby, T.R. Chowdhury, A. Richter, H. Santruckova, C. Schadel, E.A.G. Schuur, V.L. Sloan, M.R. Turetsky, and M.P. Waldrop 2015. A pan-Arctic synthesis of CH4 and CO2 production from anoxic soil incubations. Global Change Biology. 21(7). 2787-2803. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12875.
Zhuang, Q., X. Zhu, Y. He, C. Prigent, J.M. Melillo, A.D. McGuire, R.G. Prinn, and D.W. Kicklighter 2015. Influence of changes in wetland inundation extent on net fluxes of carbon dioxide and methane in northern high latitudes from 1993 to 2004. Environmental Research Letters. 10. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/095009.
Gray, S.T., A. Bennett, W.R. Bolton, A.L. Breen, T. Carman, E. Euskirchen, H. Genet, E. Jafarov, J. Jenkins, T. Kurkowski, M. Lindgren, P. Martin, S. McAfee, A.D. McGuire, S. Marchenko, R. Muskett, S. Panda, J. Reynolds, A. Robertson, V. Romanovsky, T.S. Rupp, K. Timm, and Y. Zhang. 2014In Press. Using integrated ecosystem modeling to improve our understanding of climate change impacts in the Alaska region . Alaska Park Science. 12(2).
Fan, Z., A.D. McGuire, M.R. Turetsky, J.W. Harden, J.M. Waddington, and E.S. Kane 2013. The response of soil organic carbon of a rich fen peatland in interior Alaska to projected climate change . Global Change Biology. 19. 604-620. doi:10.1111/gcb.12041#sthash.YbIhM3gR.dpuf.
Genet H., A. D. McGuire, K. Barrett, A. L. Breen, E. S. Euskirchen, J. F. Johnstone, E. S. Kasischke, A. M. Melvin, A. Bennet, M. C. Mack, T. S. Rupp, A. E. G. Schuur, M. R. Turetsky & F. Yuan. 2013. Modeling the effects of fire severity and climate warming on active layer depth and soil carbon dynamics of black spruce forests across the landscape in Interior Alaska . Environmental Research Letters. 8(4). 1-13. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/045016#sthash.oKj4WKIL.dpuf.
He, Y., Q. Zhuang, A.D. McGuire, Y. Liu, and M. Chen 2013. Alternative ways of using field-based estimates to calibrate ecosystem models and their implications for ecosystem carbon cycle studies . Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences. 118. 1-11. doi:10.1002/jgrg.20080.
Jafarov, E.E., V.E. Romanovsky, H. Genet, A.D. McGuire, and S.S. Marchenko 2013. The effects of fire on the thermal stability of permafrost in lowland and uplandblack spruce forests of interior Alaska in a changing climate . Environmental Research Letters. 8(3). doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/035030.
Jafarov, E. E., V. E. Romanovsky, H. Genet, A. D. McGuire, and S. S. Marchenko 2013. The effects of fire on the thermal stability of permafrost in lowland and upland black spruce forests of interior Alaska in a changing climate. Environmental Research Letters. 8.
Johnson, K.D., J.W. Harden, A.D. McGuire, M. Clark, F.M. Yuan, and A. Finley 2013. Permafrost and organic layer interactions over a climate gradient in a discontinuous permafrost zone. Environmental Research Letters. 8(3). doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/035028#sthash.gerrtuej.dpuf.
Kane, E.S., M.R. Chivers, M.R. Turetsky, C.C. Treat, D.G. Petersen, M. Waldrop, J.W. Harden, and A.D. McGuire 2013. Response of anaerobic carbon cycling to water table manipulation in an Alaskan rich fen . Soil Biology and Biogeochemistry. 58. 50-60. doi:10.1016/j.soilbio.2012.10.032.
McConnell, N.A, M.R. Turetsky, A.D. McGuire, E.S. Kane, M.P. Waldrop, and J.W. Harden 2013. Controls on ecosystem and root respiration across a permafrost and wetland gradient in interior Alaska . Environmental Research Letters. 8(4). doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/045029#sthash.VAsQ924a.dpuf.
Mishra, U., J.D. Jastrow, R. Matamala, G. Hugelius, C.D. Koven, J.W. Harden, C.L. Ping, G.J. Michaelson, Z. Fan, R.M. Miller, A.D. McGuire, C. Tarnocai, P. Kuhry, W.J. Riley, K. Schaefer, E.A.G. Schuur, M.T. Jorgenson, and L.D. Hinzman 2013. Empirical estimates to reduce modeling uncertainties of soil organic carbon in permafrost regions: A review of recent progress and remaining challenges . Environmental Research Letters. 8(3). doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/035020#sthash.DmOPqxmG.dpuf.
Olefeldt, D., M.R. Turetsky, P.M. Crill, and A.D. McGuire 2013. Environmental and physical controls on northern terrestrial methane emissions across permafrost zones. Global Change Biology. 19(2). 589-603. doi:10.1111/gcb.12071#sthash.dhQve4KV.dpuf.
Yi, S., N. Li, B. Xiang, X. Wang, B. Ye, and A.D. McGuire 2013. Representing the effects of alpine grassland vegetation cover on the simulation of soil thermal dynamics by ecosystem models applied to the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau . Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences. 118(3). 1186-1199. doi: 10.1002/jgrg.20093.
McGuire, A.D., T. Christensen, D. Hayes, A. Heroult, E. Euskirchen, J.S. Kimball, C. Koven, P. Lafleur, P. Miller, P. Peylin, W. Oechel, M. Williams, and Y. Yi 2012. An assessment of the carbon balance of arctic tundra: Comparisons among observations, process models, and atmospheric inversions . Biogeosciences.
O’Donnell, J.A., M.T. Jorgenson, J.W. Harden, A.D. McGuire, M.Z. Kanevskiy, and K.P. Wickland 2012. The effects of permafrost thaw on soil hydrologic, thermal and carbon dynamics in an Alaskan peatland . Ecosystems.
Turetsky, M.R., B. Bond-Lamberty, E.S. Euskirchen, J. Talbot, S. Frolking, A.D. McGuire, E.-S. Tuittila - See more at: https://csc.alaska.edu/news/2011-2012-publications-ak-csc-researchers#sthash.wUt5uCmv.dpuf 2012. The resiliency and functional role of moss in boreal and arctic ecosystems. A ‘Tansley Review’ for The New Phytologist.
Waldrop, M.P., J.W. Harden, M.R. Turetsky, D.G. Petersen, A.D. McGuire, M.J.I. Briones, A.C. Churchill, D.H. Doctor, and L.E. Pruett 2012. Bacterial and enchytraid abundance accelerate soil carbon turnover along a lowland vegetation gradient in Alaska . Soil Biology & Biochemistry.
Wolken, J.M., T.N. Hollingsworth, T.S. Rupp, F.S. Chapin III, S.F. Trainor, T.M. Barrett, P.F. Sullivan, A.D. McGuire, E.S. Euskirchen, P.E. Hennon, E.A. Beever, J.S. Conn, L.K. Crone, D.V. D'Amore, N. Fresco, T.A. Hanley, K. Kielland, J.J. Kruse, T. Patterson, E.A.G. Schuur, D.L. Verbyla, and J. Yarie 2012. Evidence and implications of recent and projected climate change in Alaska's forest ecosystems. Ecosphere.
Yuan, F.M., S.H. Yi, A.D. McGuire, K.D. Johnson, J.J. Liang, J.W. Harden, E. Kasischke, and W.A. Kurz 2012. Assessment of historical boreal forest carbon dynamics in the Yukon River Basin: Relative roles of climate warming and fire regime changes. Ecological Applications.
Genet, H., Y. He, A.D. McGuire, Q. Zhuang, Y. Zhang, F. Biles, D.V. D’Amore, X. Zhou, and K.D. Johnson . Terrestrial carbon modeling: Baseline and projections in upland ecosystems. Chapter 6 (pages 105-132) in Z. Zhu and A.D. McGuire, eds., Baseline and projected future carbon storage and greenhouse-gas fluxes in ecosystems of Alaska. U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper. 1826. 196. http://dx.doi.org/10.3133/pp1826.